Modeling Dynamics in Land Use and Land Cover and Its Future Projection for the Amazon Biome

The objectives were to analyze the dynamics of land use and cover Amazon biome over time through spatial modeling, project its future scenario with Land Change Modeler (LCM) module. This analysis was based on 1985, 2014 2017 data from MapBiomas project, which associated socioeconomic explanatory variables Cramer-V test. Results showed that Forest Formation class occupied 3,844,800.75 km2 (91.20%) in 2014, there a reduction 3,452,129.25 (81.89%). pasture had an initial area 71,046.50 (1.69%), expressive increase 437,670.00 (10.38%). made it possible verify Pastures classes suffered most changes, followed by Annual Perennial Culture Mosaic Agriculture Pasture. projected coverage for 2044 suggests will be due significant Pasture class. simulations foreseen this work are important tool can provide subsidies supporting territorial planning region, public policies, encouragement best practices reduced impact areas.